TWiV 1360: Clinical Update with Dr. Daniel Griffin
September 26, 20261h · 9,847 words
Show notes
In his weekly clinical update, Daniel Griffin and Vincent Racaniello frustration continues over the increasing number of measles infections, Kennedy’s undermining of vaccines, perpetuation of autism- vaccine, autism-tylenol myths, an outbreak of hepatitis A virus in the US, the Ebola outbreak in Uganda, changes in reporting of virus infection and vaccine recommendations, Legionnaires disease and screw worm cases, and before Dr.
Highlighted moments
the system actually, if you understand how it works, and that's a problem if you're a lawyer as opposed to someone trained in science and medicine, it really, it's amazing its ability to, after the vaccines are out there, pick up these incredibly rare, one in 100,000, one in a million, these rare vaccine injuries, vaccine-associated issues that you don't necessarily see in these trials
“Trump's idea to split up the shots is buffoonery, said Offit, a vaccine inventor. He noted that vaccines are studied extensively, so their dosing schedule is optimized for efficacy and safety.”
“Across consecutive birth cohorts, both seven-year cumulative incidence and prevalence estimates of the ASD, so autism spectrum disorder at age seven, remained stable, ranging from 1.9 for incidence, from 2.0 for prevalence, with no statistically significant increase or decrease.”
“So approximately 95% of VMAT2 binding in striatum is contained within dopamine-releasing neurons. So a reduction in this DTBZBP is inferred to represent a loss of dopamine-releasing neurons.”
Transcript
Anniversaries and fall weather
0:00This Week in Virology, the podcast about viruses, the kind that make you sick.
0:10From Microbe TV, this is TWIV. This Week in Virology, episode 1360, recorded on September 24, 2026. I'm Vincent Racaniello, and you're listening to the podcast all about viruses. Joining me today from New York, Daniel Griffin. Hello, everyone. So on this date, in 2008, I released TWIV number one. Wow, 2008. So that's 18 years. Am I doing this right?
0:452008 to 2018 would be 10, to 2028 would be 20. So it's 18 years, yes. Wow, wow. Two years from now, we'll have to have some big, like, 20-year celebration, 20 years of Microbe TV, 20 years of TWIV. Yes, 20 years. I was walking down the street in Manhattan today, and a guy shouted, Hey, Professor!
1:09That's awesome. That's fun. Nice to see you in the real. Okay. No, that's nice. But unfortunately, Vincent, it's starting to feel like fall. It's starting to feel like the summer. Summer's gone. It is cool here, and I had to wear a wool coat today. Yeah, no, I was disappointed. I had big plans. I was going to go sailing this weekend with my parents, but we got a nor'easter blowing in, you know, and so I had on the schedule to, you know, fill the boat up with diesel
1:43so she'll be all ready and everything, and we did do that today. And are you ready for this? Like, $8 a gallon. What's going on? I thought I heard that, like, everything had become more affordable. $8 a gallon for boat diesel. Wow. Okay, well, let's jump in on that note. And this is a Sylvia Plath quotation from the Belger. I don't know if you're a big Sylvia Plath fan. I did read the Belger, yeah. It's great. It's great. If you expect nothing from somebody, you are never disappointed.
2:19It's still true, but it's hard not to expect things from people, right? Well, our listeners can probably guess, you know, maybe there's particular individuals where I just remember this quotation.
Vaccine safety and political rhetoric
2:30So, oh, wow. Okay, so let's start off with our news. Kennedy questions vaccine safety at Children's Health Defense event. So, HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and this was September 17th. This is last Thursday while we're actually busy recording science communication. This individual was addressing a conference organized by the anti-vaccine group Children's Health Defense playing up the safety risks of vaccines and telling the audience they have a strong and steadfast friend in the White House.
3:09Kennedy said that while vaccine injuries are likely rare, there's no way for us to know this because the system for reporting vaccine injuries is broken. Kennedy spoke to the group amid a nationwide measles outbreak that has reached three, well, when they sort of write this CIDRAP article, 3,471 confirmed cases for measles-associated deaths reported in Pennsylvania. His only mention of the outbreak was in reference to vaccine injuries. This is not true that the vaccine injury system is broken.
3:41It actually works very well. Well, didn't we pick up myocarditis and blood clots during COVID vaccination? I mean, the system actually, if you understand how it works, and that's a problem if you're a lawyer as opposed to someone trained in science and medicine, it really, it's amazing its ability to, after the vaccines are out there, pick up these incredibly rare, one in 100,000, one in a million, these rare vaccine injuries, vaccine-associated issues that you don't necessarily see in these trials where you may have tens of thousands of people in your trial,
4:18but you start picking up things that are much less common when you have your vaccine-adverse event reporting system. So, yeah, this is just sort of feeding into this anti-vaccine rhetoric. No, it's totally incorrect to say that the vaccine injury system is broken. It works. And if you don't see that in what's happening, then you're just blind to it. Yeah. But it conflicts with the agenda here. And I think, just point this out, here's an individual who was actually asked, you know, by certain individuals in the White House, one in particular, to stop, you know, with this anti-vaccine messaging, because it does not play well with most of us.
5:02Most of us are, we want our children protected. We want our communities protected. And we're going to see a little bit as we go forward about how some of this rhetoric has actually resulted in incredibly expensive and damaging results.
Childhood immunization scheduling proposals
5:18So, next, Trump says some routine immunizations will be split into five separate shots. Vaccine experts say it won't work. This is kind of like those, you know, those $2,000 tariff checks. I don't know. What did you spend yours on, Vincent, your $2,000 tariff check? Did you ever get that? Well, anyway, anyway. I sent it to you. Okay. I joke. President Donald Trump said Friday, this is last Friday, right, that his administration is planning to recommend that certain childhood immunizations be broken up into five separate shots, each with a small amount of the vaccine.
5:56These 20% doses would each be given six months apart, he said, instead of a child going in and having a tremendous amount of different vaccines pumped into a big proportion of the body. I think he is under the impression it's like a soda can amount, which is not true. We're going to recommend that they do five doses marked. You ready for this? One, two, three, four, five. I don't know how he came up with those numbering system, but that they should be given in six-month intervals so that a small amount of the vaccine gets pumped into the body.
6:27Trump said such a plan would render vaccines ineffective and would make them safer, said Dr. Paul Offit, director of the vaccine education center at CHOP Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. Trump's idea to split up the shots is buffoonery, said Offit, a vaccine inventor. He noted that vaccines are studied extensively, so their dosing schedule is optimized for efficacy and safety.
6:59And he said that reducing the amount administered and giving more shots would make it so the vaccines don't work while doing nothing to increase safety. Offit also pointed out that vaccines don't overwhelm babies' immune systems as they expose us to much less than we encounter every day naturally. You make a billion new B and T cells every day to handle the onslaught of viruses and bacteria from your environment, Offit said. Vaccines are literally a drop in the ocean of what you encounter and manage every day.
7:30The notion that vaccines in any way are overwhelming your immune system, causing chronic disease, is just fanciful. Additionally, many vaccines, including TPT, MMR, are not manufactured as individual vaccines today. Separate vaccines would require changes in manufacturing that would be difficult to implement and confusing. And maybe we'll talk a little bit more. Vincent. This is buffoonery. What a great word. This is total buffoonery from a guy who knows no science, and there's no science behind this decision.
8:02He wants to give kids less vaccines, right? His big thing is they get too many. But now we're going to break it up into multiple shots. This doesn't make any sense. And as Paul said, they're not going to work anymore. You need to give a certain amount of antigen. This is terrible that the president is getting his involved in something he knows nothing about, right? It's a huge problem. I mean, so one is this idea that we're going to give smaller doses, this sort of this homeopathy dose.
8:32If you don't give the proper dose, you don't get the immune response that you're elicited, that you're hoping to elicit. You don't get the protection you're hoping to achieve. Yeah, this, I mean, buffoonery. And then it gets even worse. The whole idea, like, how is this going to happen, right? So somehow some magical capitalist independent pharmaceutical company is going to develop these individual five separate shots, going to somehow get through an FDA approval process.
9:05Somehow think of the number of people that would have to be enrolled in these trials to see enough mumps, to see enough rubella, to see enough measles and all the other issues. I mean, how many years and hundreds of millions, billions of dollars you're talking about? And you're going to see we're already, like, spending billions of dollars because of the buffoonery that's been going on. Yeah, you can't even test these. There aren't enough cases of any of these diseases to test them.
9:36Yeah, that's the big thing. Like, how could you do these trials? Because you would need to actually have, like, lots and lots of cases, right? I mean, you could do trials, as we did in the early days of COVID, when you had lots of COVID, so. Yeah. No, I mean, first of all, we shouldn't even talk about testing them because it's not indicated. The vaccines are fine the way they are. There's nothing broken. Nothing needs to be fixed about them. This is just political maneuvering. That's what so much of this is. Yeah, they're safe. They're effective.
10:06Yeah. All right.
Clams and typhus outbreaks
10:08Another, you know, I feel like this is just, like, the calamity. Like, you know, welcome to – it's only – it hasn't even been two years. Multi-state hepatitis A outbreak potentially linked to frozen clams. Like, you can't even, like, eat without worrying that you're going to get sick. You know, you can't even eat your clams. As of September 17, 2026, 37 illnesses have been identified as being associated with the outbreak from four states. Illness onset dates range from July 30, 2025, to June 23, 2026.
10:44Among identified case patients, aged range from 6 to 40 years old. About half of them are male. Of 37 people with information available, 81% ended up in the hospital. From eating those frozen clams. All right. Typhus in Los Angeles. Like, what is going on? I mean, I'm not – I feel like I'm making this stuff up, but it's true. The Los Angeles County Department of Public Health is investigating a localized outbreak of flea-borne typhus in the Wilshire Center neighborhood of the city of Los Angeles as cases continue to rise across the county.
11:19What is this? Are we in the trenches of World War II? Seven symptomatic cases linked to this outbreak have been identified. Six of the seven people were hospitalized. This is the second outbreak for flea-borne typhus reported by public health this year. Flea-borne typhus can affect anyone. People are often exposed around their homes by infected fleas carried by pets or wildlife. In L.A. County, infected fleas are commonly found on rats, free-roaming cats, and opossums. So be careful when you're playing with those free-roaming cats, those feral cats.
11:52Although this and the other cluster center in one neighborhood, the risk of flea-borne typhus is countywide and cases occur across the county and among people with a range of housing and socioeconomic circumstances. You ready for this? So far this year, over 100 cases have been reported in L.A. So what are the symptoms of typhus and why would you have to be hospitalized? You can get super sick. So, you know, high fever, you could – sepsis, dropping blood pressure.
12:22Yeah.
12:24All right. I don't know why this is happening. But you can't blame – you know, there's no vaccine, right? So you can't blame that. But we have really disassembled our public health system, right? And we've done it. We've cut people. We've cut funding. So, you know, the normal surveillance that might be in place. A lot of the services for some of the people that are at risk for this. Yeah. There's a number of things that we're seeing.
12:54So – all right. And we're doing it because there's this absurd idea, right, that we have this epidemic of autism caused by the vaccines. I don't know if you've caught that. That's why people don't give their dogs rabies vaccines anymore, but – Wait a minute. Wait a minute. You haven't heard of dog canine autism from the rabies vaccines? Vincent, Vincent, it's not a thing. But they're afraid of autism? Are you serious? Yes. So actually – Would you even know if your dog had autism? Well, they fail to make eye contact.
13:25Your cats no longer will text you back. Somebody asked me the other day, why would you not vaccinate your dog? And I don't understand at all. This is – you need to protect your dog because they're going to have contact with wildlife. Yeah, and they do. Like, you know, I was up since 4 a.m. this morning because the foxes have figured out – this is their game now. So they come into the yard and then they go to the back door and harass my lab. And then when she goes out, they run, but they basically run through and they – now
13:58they sit outside the fence. I've gone out with them and I'm like – the foxes like to sit there. But yeah, you see dogs will interact with foxes. They'll interact with raccoons. You know, they'll even maybe in a stream. We have leptospirosis in the local stream. So yeah, you've got to protect your dogs, your cats, and we have a lot of vaccines that protect our animals. And then not only are you protecting them, but, you know, what happens if there's some sort of an issue where now your neighbor gets exposed.
14:28So yeah. All right.
Autism incidence and persistence studies
14:30So here we have another article. And I just want to point out that this is a literature that is growing. So we have lots and lots of studies here. I'm going to talk about this publication now. But it's not like, oh, please look at this one cherry-picked study that supports my agenda. This is another robust article, Cumulative Incidents and Prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorder, published in JAMA Pediatrics. These are the results of a prospective population-based screening and diagnostic assessment conducted
15:03in 12 consecutive birth cohorts in South Korea among children born from January 1998 to December 2010 and ascertains at age seven years between January 2005 and December 2017. All children aged seven years entering elementary schools constituted the target population. Among more than 62,000 children, 2,077 screened positive and were invited for detailed evaluation
15:34and 881 completed comprehensive diagnostic assessments. Data were analyzed from January 2024 to July 2026. Population-wide standardized screening used the Autism Spectrum Screening Questionnaire, Diagnostic Assessments, including the Autism Diagnostic Observational Schedule, Autism Diagnostic Interview Revised, Cognitive Testing, and Record Review. These were all administered to screen positive children.
16:05Clinical Consensus Best Estimate Diagnosis were determining according to the DSM. So this is the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th Edition. Across consecutive birth cohorts, both seven-year cumulative incidence and prevalence estimates of the ASD, so autism spectrum disorder at age seven, remained stable, ranging from 1.9 for incidence, from 2.0 for prevalence, with no statistically significant increase or decrease.
16:39So they go on basically to say the findings from this cohort study suggest that detection-related factors may contribute substantially to reported increases in ASD occurrence estimates. And I'm going to leave in a link to the CIDRAP article where we read that the prevalence of ASD, Autism Spectrum Disorder, remains stable across consecutive birth cohorts. The pattern suggests improved detection rather than increased autism spectrum disorder occurrence and does not support this concept of an autism epidemic.
17:15The findings of this cohort study indicate seven-year cumulative incidence and age seven prevalence of ASD remains stable.
17:24Any comments on this? I thought we'd at least give this a little bit of a discussion. Here we are on this week in virology. Why are we discussing autism? Well, because some people who erroneously claim that vaccines, specifically MMR, cause autism, right? Yeah. And many studies have discounted that. But here is one showing the incidence hasn't increased in the past. This is a seven-year study, right? Seven-year cumulative study. If vaccines were causing autism, you would see the rates increasing as additional babies are being
17:55vaccinated every year. And that's not the case. It's another nail in the coffin for this idea. Yeah. It's really, I think it's really important. And I think as clinicians, right, we have these discussions. A lot of times people will say, oh, you know, I want to delay the vaccine or I'm worried about vaccine because of the neurodevelopmental impacts. Really, really clear. And another incredibly well-done, robust thing. That is not true. The vaccines basically prevent disease. They do not cause neurodevelopmental disorders.
18:28And, you know, one of the things we're seeing is different types of autism. There's, as I pointed out here, a spectrum. There's, you know, one, two, and three. Three is, you know, the nonverbal, really high needs. And then the level one, which we're seeing many more diagnoses, these are people with, you know, minimal supportive needs. And as we see here, when you really look closely and you follow, you're going to get the same numbers. But if you do a better job of awareness, you're going to diagnose more of those level ones. The level three is you're going to basically pick those people up without really needing
19:03to do a lot of effort. So, you know, it's great that we're hearing a lot about autism. It's great that there's a lot of excitement to understand the causes. But what is not great is this erroneous concept that vaccines are causing them. And I was just listening to the recent TWIV at ASB. And, you know, why do people interested in virology care about vaccines? Because what was the answer to that question? If you wanted to tell someone one thing about viruses, what would you tell them?
19:33Yeah, get vaccinated. Get vaccinated. Okay.
Dengue and legionella outbreaks
19:38So, all right. Another, as the world is falling apart, we read in the AP, Florida is experiencing one of the worst surges of dengue fever in decades. This is, we're talking here about autochthonous. These are people hanging out in Florida, getting dengue in Florida, not like traveling somewhere cool. The Florida Department of Health confirmed a death on Friday. An individual died from dengue. Um, we have seen more than 130 locally acquired dengue cases. Um, so much more than...
20:09So, there is a dengue vaccine. Is it used in the U.S. at all? So, not really. But I think we're going to have to start re-thinking that. Like, it's normally considered a travel vaccine. Yeah. So, this local transmission means that mosquitoes have dengue virus in them and they're bringing it from person to person. Um, so, yeah. Actually, and that's the whole idea. So, someone's, someone's got dengue and they're viremic and they get, um, you know, bitten by the female mosquito. And then the female mosquito is then going to go bite a second person and you're going
20:43to end up, you know, the mosquito is going to be the vector. Um, but now, I guess when you do your travel clinic, you're going to have to go and say, I'm thinking of traveling to Florida, you know. And so, you know, I have to worry about dengue. I have to worry about measles. You know, it's becoming a foreign country down there. Uh, but let's, let's also make sure we bash on New York City because we have our second major Legionella outbreak going on at the moment. Um, we're up to 22 people. Um, we already had a couple deaths from this outbreak. So, this is in the South Bronx.
21:14South Bronx.
21:16Another case of screw worm this, this last week. So, you know, screw worm is now, um, you know, it's full-fledged across the border. So, New Mexico and Texas. No, you know, I've been watching this map over the past months and it's getting bigger and bigger. Yeah. Yeah. And it's getting a little farther in, right? It's not just right at the edge there. Yeah. So, yeah, it's, it's all the way into central Texas and kind of moving up New Mexico. So, yeah. And the last two cases, one, another case in New Mexico, um, another case in Texas.
21:49And the one that we talked about last week was a horse. So, all right.
Ebola vaccination in DRC
21:53Ebola. Um, a little bit excitement news. I mean, I was sort of, I read this and I was like, am I really reading this? Just now, just Saturday, 9, 19, 20, 26. Um, they began vaccinating healthcare staff against Ebola, um, in, um, in the, the DRC. I'm going to put my glasses on for this, in, in, in Bunia. Um, and this is the epicenter of the, the, um, fastest growing outbreak of Ebola in history. Um, the provincial governor, um, is telling us that, uh, you know, particularly they're
22:25worried about, you know, healthcare workers because they're, um, you know, have high exposure rate. They're very involved in the response. So, they began vaccinating healthcare staff, um, healthcare workers and other frontline workers, um, were prioritized to receive the, um, Urvibo vaccine. It was effective, um, past Ebola outbreaks. Um, clinical trials are ongoing to find a licensed vaccine for the current outbreak. Uh, so this is, uh, the Bundabugio virus.
22:56Um, and so we've got that as an update. Um, but you can see the CDC now, you know, they're following out, um, you know, the first six months and you can see that here we are, uh, you know, still with a pretty significant, um, trajectory, uh, up to confirmed cases, 7,672, um, confirmed deaths, 3,699, um, and still a solid chunk, um, you say 10 to 20% of folks are not actually being followed who are, who are diagnosed with Ebola, kind of lost to, uh, lost to follow-up.
23:30So, we have ongoing transmission there. Well, I hope this vaccine does something because as you know, it's against Zaire and it's not Bundabugio. Yeah. So, it's tough. Um, and it really is tough. I mean, I know that, you know, we, we, the U.S. government is giving, um, some funding to help with this outbreak, but we don't have, uh, the same, you know, boots on the ground, um, assistance that we provided, uh, with the big West African outbreak, you know, and it's tough. If you went there to help, you would have to then spend 21 days in some third place before
24:03you'd be allowed to come back to the U.S. So, they're really making it, uh, difficult for those of us who might want to go and, and help.
Measles deaths and outbreak costs
24:11All right.
Measles deaths and outbreak costs
24:12But we've got a lot of problems here at home, Vincent. Um, Pennsylvania asked CDC for emergency assistance amid RFK junior clash over measles. Um, so, Pennsylvania's health department has started the process of requesting emergency assistance from the CDC to help control this deadly and rapidly spreading measles outbreak. Um, but the request for that assistance known as epi-aid comes on the condition that the CDC publicly recognize the four people who died from measles, um, which the agency has
24:43so far refused to do. In the letter, Pennsylvania Health Secretary Deborah Bogan said, it was important for state and federal officials to have a trusting relationship built on respectful, transparent, and factual communication. The CDC's choice not to publicly recognize the deaths undermines our response, Bogan wrote. For this reason, if CDC is unable to transparently and accurately communicate information about those measles-associated deaths, the department will respectfully rescind our request for a CDC epi-aid, um,
25:14Now, much of the conflict seems to be around how upset RFK junior is that people actually do die from measles. Um, and so the article, U.S. CDC works on standard definition for measles death as cases arise was published in Reuters. Um, so the U.S. CDC is working with the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiology to develop a standardized taste definition for measles deaths, the agency said. Um, and here are the details. We're going to get one, two, three, four, five, six points.
25:46So the CDC reported 3,471 confirmed measles cases in the United States as of September 17, up from 3,294 a week earlier, with no deaths recorded for 2026 in its national tally. I think since then they've added, they've actually recognized one. Um, the Pennsylvania Department of Health reported two more deaths, both in unvaccinated individuals, bringing the state's total to four. The CDC, however, has not included the deaths, um, they're moved away from its previous reliance
26:19on state health departments. The Pennsylvania Health Department, as we just discussed, sought emergency support, but they want, um, the agency to recognize these four deaths. The CDC said it would update its reporting as more information becomes available and relevant reviews are completed. Um, now on Wednesday, this is, I think, something, the U.S. Senate Health Committee's Republican chairman blamed the Trump administration's approach to vaccines for recent measles deaths in Pennsylvania.
26:50Well, you know who that is, right? Cassidy. Yeah. I mean, I'm torn about Cassidy, right? Like, he could have prevented this from happening. You know, you basically ask someone who lies to your face, will you promise me that y'all stop lying? No, no. I mean, this whole thing that the CDC is not putting these deaths up is just childish behavior. The CDC has always taken the data directly from the states and put it up. They don't need to do their own investigation or anyone else's investigation. So this is playing games and it's, it's, it's just unbecoming of the CDC.
27:26Unbelievable. Yeah.
27:29It's horrible. And, you know, not only like, you know, we've talked a little bit and we'll talk about this more, like not only have we already had people die from measles, but we're going to potentially have people with, with delayed effects. And this is, this is not cheap. This is not cheap in terms of human life and suffering and all the hundreds of individuals that have ended up in the, in the hospital, mostly children. Um, but also lots and lots of, shall we say millions of dollars. So let's talk about, um, this is a, uh, JAMA article, um, cost of a measles outbreak at
28:03an urban shelter. Um, so measles outbreaks, as we've been discussing are costly and challenging to control. Um, so a measles outbreak associated with a Chicago, uh, shelter, say Chicago, Illinois shelter, which primarily affects shelter residents resulted in substantial public health response costs, direct medical costs, and productivity losses. So what did they find? So the economic evaluation of 57 cases of measles and 3,569 contacts, um, here they estimated the
28:35cost was $8.7 million. Um, and this was made up, um, you know, direct 153,000 per measles case, um, 3.6 million in response costs, 4.4 million in direct medical costs, 684,000 in productivity losses, and affected children missed 17,113 school days. So this is just, this is an incredibly costly thing when, when this happens.
29:08And then we have, this is a Fox News thing. You ready for this? Fox News. We hear that, uh, measles at the Philadelphia airport, um, two possible measles exposures within a week, uh, the latest at Philadelphia international airports. And they give us a little bit about those, um, potential exposures. So not, not great. I think I heard there was an exposure at CHOP also. Yes. Yes, there was. Yeah. Children's hospital of, uh, Philadelphia. Let's pull off its hospital.
29:39He's not going to be happy about that. No, no. What's going on there? Um, so yeah, so I continue to follow the Hopkins U.S. measles tracker. We're up to 3,568 measles cases. And you can see where the big, um, where the big epicenters are. Um, and, and maybe this is a time for us to, uh, to recommend people listen to the latest deep dive, um, ASV TWIV, uh, where SSPE is discussed. Um, and what's really tragic there is, so this is a, this is an incurable, um, manifestation,
30:15a delayed manifestation of measles infection. And, you know, you look at, you know, say, okay, so over 3,000 people have been infected. Um, and for, for every 600, um, kids who get infected prior than one, um, we're going to see a case of SSPE where five to 10 years after the fact, so five to 10 years from now, this process has already been set in motion. These children over a year will basically progress from a normal, healthy child to a vegetative state where the only way to keep them alive is to have them, um, nonverbal with a feeding
30:50tube on a ventilator. And that's, that's happening. We, we are letting that happen. So I just want to point that out. This, um, there's no way that the U.S. is going to maintain its measles elimination status. You know, they're meeting in November, 3,500 cases, just, just no way. I mean, the only, the only way you maintain it is by lying, right? By just making believe. The numbers are there, even though they've been trying to suppress them, right? Yeah. Yeah. And you can go, you can go on the CDC site, um, and you can actually look at the, uh,
31:25yearly measles cases and you can see how they cluster across the country. So for those watching on YouTube, you can see, uh, the first map of the U.S. Um, and basically you can see there, there really are a number of, um, you know, Pennsylvania, Utah, South Carolina, where you're seeing 500 plus cases in those states. And then the next sort of a hundred to 500, you know, Texas, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Arizona. I mean, this is, um, it's terrible. Um, but you can see how this maps relative to, um, MMR vaccine coverage for kindergartners.
32:00And it's, it's horrible. There's a, the category of less than 90%, which is just, you know, waiting for the other shoe to drop. Um, and it's, you know, Oregon, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Alaska, Hawaii, Colorado, Oklahoma, the Dakotas, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire. What is going on up there in New Hampshire, guys? Come on. So now school has begun and this is going to get worse. Um, yeah, yeah.
32:32Unbelievable. Yep. Yep. So, you know, last year for the full year, we had 2,242 and we were bemoaning that, but we're already now approaching 4,000, uh, probably get there by the end of the year, unfortunately. Um, and we now have our New York state measles dashboard. You can see sort of a clusters in particular areas, but we're up to 62 in the state, um, and half a dozen confirmed cases right here in New York city. So, all right.
Influenza vaccine trials and comparisons
33:01Well, what, what, what, what can you do where we're heading into flu season? As we mentioned, you can get vaccinated. Oh my gosh. And vaccines work. Um, but even if you want to get in the weeds, which particular vaccine should you get? So here we have the article, we're talking about flu shots, immunogenicity and safety of an MF 59 adjuvanted cell derived higher dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine in adults aged 50 years or older, a phase three randomized control trial published in the Lancet infectious
33:32diseases. So they're going to look at immunogenicity and safety of, we'll look at three different vaccines and how are we going to keep these apart? So we've got our, um, MF 59 adjuvanted cell derived higher dose. So this is the little a QIV with a little C, the little C for cell, the MF 59 adjuvanted egg derived. So that's the little a QIV without the C. So that's like, I, I was, I want to put a little E at the end for egg, but I don't know. They didn't do that. I wanted to do it.
34:03And then QIVR. So that's the recombinant with the little R. Um, and we're looking at adults 50 and older. So that, that would be the people like me. Um, these are the results of a phase three randomized observer blind parallel group multi-center study, um, where, um, folks were randomly assigned three to two to two. Um, so like three, right, going to end up in the, um, in the cell and we're going to end up with, you know, relative to two in the egg and relative to two in recombinant.
34:34So, um, and then they're going to, they're going to do age stratification. So you're going to look at people 50 to 64, but then we're going to separately look at people 65 or older. Okay. And they, they give a breakdown how much of hemagglutinin and, um, how much of the squalene is in each of the different, um, preparations. Um, now the participants received one vaccine dose. So this is a, this is a one shot. This is not part of a series or a scheduled, um, approach. This is just, you get, you get your one flu shot and then we see, um, how people, how
35:08people did. So primary immunogenicity objectives were lot to lot consistency of three batches of the cellular. Um, and, um, they're going to look at the, the GMT ratios. Um, they're looking at non-inferiority. Um, and so what do we find out? So the cellular was non-inferior and actually superior to the egg at day 29, GMT ratio of 1.53. Um, and they're going to break this down for the difference. So that's for flu A H1N1, 1.2 for flu A H3N2, 1.73 for a flu B Victoria.
35:47That's kind of all there is now. And 1.71 for B Yamagata, um, and corresponding serial conversion rate differences were 16.8%. Um, and then they're going to break it down for the different, basically it was non-inferior so that the, the, the cell was not only non-inferior, but actually superior to the egg based, um, for all the different, um, components compared with the recombinant, the non-inferior, inferiority criteria is met for three, um, but not for the flu A H3N2.
36:22So the cellular was well tolerated, um, except there were some slightly higher rates of local, um, and systemic really reactogenicity, but these were always mild, moderate, transient, self-resolved, um, really serious adverse events were low across all vaccine groups. So they, they pull it all together. Um, basically here's the takeaway for folks 50 and older, the cellular high dose cellular was non-inferior and actually superior to the high dose egg for all four flu strains.
36:54Um, and then we basically see that one, um, issue for the, the flu A H1N1 relative to recombinant, but no, no new safety concerns or any issues here.
37:06Let's get to our favorite part of the show, the multicolored blue washed lines. We may have peaked actually. It's very interesting. It could be a little peak this year, lower than last year, this first peak. And that would not be so surprising. I think it's might have this little narrow bump and, you know, but it's hard to know. Like I, and I wish they had blue washed and changed things around. Was this really a smaller peak? I think it was a smaller peak. Well, if you look all the way to the left to last year, 2024.
37:40Yeah. Well, actually we could look to 2025 because the whole thing is on here. You know, we have a July to September peak, which is much higher than what we are having now. Yeah. Yeah. And then you have one in December. So I suspect this is going down and, uh, because it's the end of September now. And so that, that should be it until December. I hope so. I hope so. Yeah. And it's, it's very regional too. When you look at the map, I mean, the folks that had a COVID-19, um, uh, peak this fall,
38:11it was Florida, it was Texas, it was California, it was Washington. I mean, much of the Midwest, the Northeast, um, not much happened. So, um, all right.
MRNA vaccine reactogenicity mechanisms
38:22So, uh, this is interesting, right? This is a question I think that came up a lot. Like, you know, different folks will get those, those MRNA COVID shots. And then some people would be like down for the day, you know, maybe even down for a couple of days, like really would have a lot of reactogenicity, right? And we, we just sort of like, we're like, oh, that's great. That means your body's doing a great job that, that, you know, but then like, what do you say? The person who's like, yeah, I got the shot, but I feel just fine. Like, oh, your body's not doing a great, we just never went there, right? Sort of, you know, commended the people who were knocked down.
38:55Um, you know, and I, I never, you know, to be full on it, I never really felt that bad, but I, I surely milked it, right? I was like, oh, you know, Jessica, my wife, I can't really do anything for Saturday. I'm just laying low. I'll be here on the couch listening to Noah Kahn. And then, but anyway, so we have the article baseline interferon signaling in monocytes and antibody mediated innate activation or associated with reactogenicity to mRNA vaccines published in science, translational medicine. And there really is a great editor summary. I like when they do these. So I'm just going to read you the editor summary, but I'm also going to a little bit
39:27from the authors as well. So one of the barriers to vaccine uptake is reactogenicity where vaccination induces transient pain and systemic symptoms, a problem that became particularly evident during COVID-19 vaccination campaigns, despite affecting only a fraction of the population. Here, Madelon et al. aimed to tease apart the drivers of this reactogenicity using samples from COVID-19 vaccine recipients and animal models, finding that monocytes and vaccine-induced antibodies at the injection
39:58site, as well as early interferon gamma production by T cells drove early inflammatory responses, associated with reactogenicity. Moreover, individuals with a higher baseline interferon response signature in monocytes were more likely to have systemic symptoms after vaccination. These data point to both mechanistic drivers and potential baseline biomarkers of reactogenicity, providing a framework to potentially reduce vaccine side effects and predict who might be most likely to develop them. And then from the authors, really sort of focusing on systemic adverse events were associated
40:34with stronger interferon and pro-inflammatory responses after the second dose of a COVID-19 mRNA vaccine, which were also correlated with magnitude of the antigen-specific adaptive responses. This heightened inflammation occurred within 24 hours of vaccination, originated primarily from the injection site, and was characterized by enhanced recruitment and activation of myeloid cells, particularly monocytes. Two mechanisms contributed to this response, early interferon production by muscle T cells generated after the first dose, and FC gamma receptor-dependent cytokine induction by vaccine-antigen-specific
41:10antibodies consistently serum antibody levels before vaccination correlated positively with reactogenicity. I don't know how you would use this to determine who's going to have a bad reaction. I mean, you can't screen everyone before.
41:26Yeah, I mean, yeah, you're not. You're going to be like, oh, you're, you know, I mean, and then what would you tell them? Hey, your antibodies levels are really high. You're going to have more reactogenicity. I don't, I mean, I guess you could maybe counsel them like, hey, you're probably going to have a lot of reactogenicity, but you're going to spend like 80 bucks and all the time to like check people's antibodies or check any of the basal sort of interferon. I mean, I think of anything, if people, it just, the take, the takeaway is we understand the mechanism, and if you're having a lot of reactogenicity and it's making you hesitant to get a COVID shot, then maybe you get the Nuvaxovid Sanofi product, right?
41:58No, I think that's, you just get the Nuvaxovid. If you're worried you had a bad reaction, get Nuvaxovid. Yeah. And if you, it's nice to know the mechanism. It's nice to do the mechanism. That's great. And maybe future vaccines could build that into them in some way to prevent it. But it's, I don't think immediately this has much use. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, people definitely had a lot of questions. And so, you know, sometimes we just want to know, and now we do.
Long covid and dopamine systems
42:25Now, this is, I mean, I'm hoping by the time we record next time, this will be resolved, but CDC inaction delays COVID shots for low-income children. We talked a little bit this last time, but although hospitalizations due to COVID-19, you know, in the middle of this fall surge, the CDC has not yet announced when COVID shots for the most vulnerable children in the country, those eligible for the Vaccines for Children program will be available. Now, this is significant. The VFC, so the Vaccines for Children program, offers free immunizations to more than half
43:00of U.S. children. Let's say that again. And this is affecting more than half of U.S. children, including those who are uninsured, underinsured, eligible for Medicaid, or American Indians or Alaska Natives. This is even worse than the CDC not putting the measles deaths on the website, because this is affecting a lot of kids. There's no reason not to get this program going. This is unconscionable. All right? This is just ridiculous, folks. It's really terrible.
43:31All right. And we're going to wind it up with this. This is like another doomsday article here, Vincent. I don't know. Sometimes the truth is upsetting, but the truth is the truth. So here we have this article, loss of vesicular monoamine transporter 2 in striatum of long COVID in relationship to neuropsychiatric symptoms was published in eBiomedicine. So this is basically like COVID is causing Parkinson's disease, basically. So this is a case control study, and it was done August 2022 through April 2025 in Toronto, Canada.
44:07It included 24 adults with long COVID and 24 age-matched healthy controls, and the healthy control sample was extended to 43 for exploratory analysis. So a little bit of background here. So several neuropathologies have been proposed in long COVID, including, so basically, how does this happen? What's going on in the brain? What's causing the pathology? So a couple ideas. One, loss of synapses, ongoing infection, mitochondrial dysfunction, overexpression of AMPA receptors,
44:39sequelae of gut microbiome imbalance, and persistent immune response with gliosis. While some think there may be some identifiable neuropathology, authors point out that identifying neuropathology in long COVID in humans is difficult because this requires either post-mortem brain tissue or brain imaging investigations of specific pathologies. So getting a brain biopsy of someone who's alive, that's really difficult. Brain imaging, you know, we can do that.
45:11So there's some concern that perhaps long COVID can represent some impact on the dopamine system in the brain of sufferers. And there are several reasons why dopamine terminals in striatum could be vulnerable to injury. So let's go through the sort of the risk issues. So first, individuals with long COVID show elevated markers of microglial and astroglial activation in the striatum, with some investigations reporting more widespread elevations.
45:43Gliosis from excessive synaptic pruning and or greater generation of reactive oxygen species may damage dopamine-releasing neurons. Now, second, direct infection of dopamine-releasing neurons innervating the ventral striatum, dorsal putamin, and caudate is possible since their cell bodies in the ventral pegmental area and substantia nigra express a relatively high density of angiotensin-converting enzyme-2 receptors.
46:15You're shaking your head there, Vincent. Just because a cell has a receptor doesn't mean it's going to be infected. Okay. And even if it doesn't have a receptor, right, you can get in through fusion. Well, it's how measles virus does it. But, you know, there's very little good evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is actively reproducing in the brain. So this really bothers me, this idea of direct infection. So, and then third, so these are, you know, and it's good that you point out, these are just theories. These are ideas. These are why we think that we should look here. And the third was a preliminary post-mortem study of eight controls in 13 individuals died
46:49of pneumonia from acute COVID-19, you know, albeit some with pathology of early dementia and one with Parkinson's disease. As most were elderly reported, detectable SARS-CoV-2 transcripts and lower dopamine neuronal density in the substantia, Niagara. So, okay. So that's fine. So they got these ideas, but let's actually go ahead and do what they do. So they're going to do this study where they're going to use head imaging to look at dopaminergic nerve terminal integrity in the ventral stratum, dorsal putamen, and dorsal caudate.
47:23And primary outcome was comparison of this. And basically, this is a type of PET. So I'm not even going to get, well, I'll give you the alphabet soup once. So positive superscript 11C, right? DT-BZ binding potential. And PET measure of VMAT-2 binding. Basically, they're going to be looking at these ways of doing PET imaging to look at dopaminergic activity. So the first, this is going to be our DT-BZ, was significantly lower in 24 individuals with
47:57COVID versus 24 age-matched healthy controls. Apathy, motor slowing, and memory decline correlated with lower levels in the ventral striatum, dorsal putamen, and caudate, respectively. And I'm just going to, maybe for the people watching on YouTube, I'm going to actually put up, we'll put up the data here. So you can actually see, there's a lot of scatter here, right? And of course, if you look at figure D, right, they're going to cherry pick a really nice
48:29figure. That is pretty compelling, right? That nice figure they have. So they've got, you know, the voxels per stratum. So basically, this is on a color chart, where normal, healthy individuals are going to have bright red areas, basically looking at dopaminergic activity. And then the folks with long COVID, they're going to have not much red going on there. But then if you actually look at the, basically, the dot plots are using triangles here. There's really a lot of overlap, right?
48:59Totally. The differences are not great. And this huge scatter, yeah, it's hard to know. I mean, you get your stats. The medians are different. It's really a lot of overlap here. Now, what does all this kind of mean? So approximately 95% of VMAT2 binding in striatum is contained within dopamine-releasing neurons. So a reduction in this DTBZBP is inferred to represent a loss of dopamine-releasing neurons.
49:29And this interpretation consistently applied as VMAT2 PET imaging is a well-established method to detect pattern and progression of loss of dopamine nerve terminals in neurodegenerative illnesses and prodromal states like Parkinson's disease. So loss of dopamine nerve terminals may be contributing to symptom correlates of apathy, motor slowing, and memory decline, suggesting improved function of dopaminergic responses or synapses as a new therapeutic direction to treat long COVID.
50:00So it's interesting, interesting. What kind of treatments could you do for that? You know, I thought about this. They talk about a bunch of stuff. I mean, the thing that came to me was things you might try in folks with Parkinson's, right? Things like cinnamon, basically giving them dopamine. Yeah. I mean, it'd be interesting. I mean, it'd pretty, you know, pretty quick on and off with those. So you can even do a very short, you know, CINEMET trial just to see like, hey, if you do CINEMET, is that going to help with apathy and motor slowing and memory decline?
50:30So it seems like sort of a low-hanging fruit after this study to potentially try. Yeah. All right. So no one is safe until everyone is safe. We are in our ASTM&H fundraiser, call this the Dixon-des-Pommiers fundraiser, actually, right? Because we're going to be headed to Washington, D.C. in November. We're going to be starting this five-year, one-health Dixon-des-Pommiers memorial lecture series. So we're hoping, this is a big one.
51:01We're hoping to get up to a maximum donation of $100,000. So your donations will be doubled. Hopefully, we're going to get an anonymous donor that will help us do that. But yeah. So go to parasiteswithoutborders.com, click on the donate button. I have to say, thanks, everybody. Really, people have really stepped up. And so, you know, this could be something that you feel like you were part of.
Listener questions on vaccines
51:24It's time for your questions for Daniel. You can send yours to danielatmicrobe.tv. Chris writes, weekly listeners since January 2020. My wife and I are expecting our first in November. We plan to keep them out of daycare and avoiding communicable settings as much as possible. And still, they start chipping away at vaccines. I had been planning a strategic day trip to Canada at age six months in order to qualify for an early MMR dose with international travel with two doses later on the normal schedule.
51:56But I just want to make sure I understand what you said last week. The balance of the clinical evidence shows that this early shot weakens protection against measles even after all three pediatric shots. That's distressing if true, but important to know since I don't want to make things worse by trying to make things better. And I know many, many expecting parents in my area who are also doing strategic international day trips for this reason. Yes, this is a good question. And Vincent, please feel free to jump in on this.
52:27We've talked about the studies on this. And the sweet spot really may be nine months. You know, we do it at a year because we really were not under the gun. But now they're seeing thousands and thousands of cases. There is a suggestion that it might make sense to try to move that earlier. But when you move earlier to six months, we actually were seeing that that early six month or earlier shot may impact the robustness of our later responses.
52:54Yeah, six months is the problem. I mean, I don't know that nine has been studied as well, right? Yeah, I think we talked about the two ideas. And one was that there might be, you know, and maybe this changes, there might be enough maternal antibodies that, you know, if you're doing it for six months, it's almost like you're not getting as good a dose. But then why would then the future doses not get you up to where you want to get? So I don't know if there's any kind of a, yeah.
53:24No, no, I mean, I mean, we did a study on TWIV a long time ago where they showed 12 months is really the best time. Yeah. But it is risky because then you're exposed in those months to measles. So in a carriage situation where there's ongoing measles, this is a problem. But there is a clear inhibition of antibody response by the second two doses when you start early, right? Yeah. So six months is unfortunately, I really think it's too early.
53:55So I'm not sure the strategic dose at six months. But now that we're seeing thousands and thousands, like, oh my gosh, you're having a child and it's no longer, you know, safe in the US. I think you need to, if you can't keep the child, you know, away from things until nine months, that would probably be the best thing, wouldn't you? What do you think, Daniel? You know, so it is tough, right? You actually have to be kind of a, you know, I don't know, a bit of a jerk, I guess. Like I had an issue and probably like full disclosure. So my oldest brother was anti-vax. I don't know if you knew this, Vincent.
54:25And so he's coming to visit with his unvaccinated kids. And this was, he was living in California. There was an outbreak of measles going on a number of years ago. So people probably could know the date and my mom's all excited. Oh, we're going to get all the cousins together. I'm like, no, we're not. I am not going to expose my little kids to unvaccinated. That's right. Yeah. That's the right decision. You cannot come. It's tough, but yeah. So he did. He vaccinated his kids. Oh my gosh, that was so hard. Oh, that's good. Yeah, it was excellent. All right. Patricia writes, my cousin is very immunocompromised.
54:58Is there a COVID vaccine she can have? She also has reactions to many additives and chemicals. Is there a COVID vaccine in trials that she could have once approved? Oh, Vincent, you know the answer to this. Our listeners, everyone, one, two, three. Yes. The back's of it. Well, I mean, it has an adjuvant also, but you know, the mRNA vaccine. But a lot less, yeah, a lot less as far as reactogenicity. So a lot of folks that, yeah, a lot of folks that are worried about react. I mean, you could actually, you could get them all to be honest. But if you are someone who reacts to a lot of things, you know, maybe doing the protein-based
55:34Nivexavid, Sanofi approach. I guess the other is just this question, like, have they had any of the vaccines? How have they done with those? Well, immunocompromised, you cannot have infectious attenuated vaccines, right? But these subunit vaccines should not be a problem, right? Yep. And the mRNA ones are fine. And actually, this is someone who, depending upon the level of, you know, they might still compromise for the, they might still qualify for the Pemgarda. So that's the passive antibody treatment.
56:04Janet writes, if you've had a documented case of flu B, should you wait three months before getting the annual flu vaccine, like you've recommended for getting a COVID vaccine after a documented COVID case? Yes, this is a little more of a challenge, Janet. So let's think it through. We'll work it through together. So, you know, you've got the one circulating flu B. So if you've got a case of flu B, you probably are going to be in pretty good shape for the next three months. But you're not protected against the different flu A's that are going to circulate.
56:35So usually, we don't recommend people wait. We say, when you get better, go ahead, get that shot, because it's really going to be flu A that are going to dominate in the epidemic flu season. Connie writes, I'm 77, pretty sure I had measles as a kid. Do I assume I have immunity or does it wear off substantially in people my age? I'm traveling to eastern Pennsylvania and wonder if a booster would be a good idea. Connie, it sounds like you're going to be able to get a booster for free. No, so we do think that measles infection confers lifelong protection.
57:15So, yeah, the recommendation. It is interesting. So the recommendation starkly hasn't been. But then it was, oh, but if you're going to, like, head to some area in the world, whatever. But, yeah, no, we normally wouldn't recommend another vaccine. Carol writes, thank you for the great information in the videos. I have to watch the video to check out the fun bow ties Dr. Daniel wears. I didn't ask you what you have on today. It's Ersinia pestis. Wow. Plague. Plague. Many years ago, I thought of getting a measles vaccination because I have no memory of getting the disease.
57:48Instead, my doctor ordered a titer and said my immunity was present, so no vaccine was necessary. Many years have elapsed. And now with measles circulating and also no memory of having mumps, though I know I had rubella, I decided to get an MMR vaccine. It was free, so why not? The pharmacist had the nerve to say it can't hurt to get boosted. While standing there, ready to plunge the syringe into my arm, which I thought was hilarious. My question is, the general recommendation is to get two shots. I've only gotten one.
58:18I'm 71. I don't think I ever got MMR. Certainly not as a child, since it wasn't available then. Will this vaccination provide me with protection by itself, or should I get another? Oh, this is good. All right, so let's walk through this. So originally, right, originally, the MMR was one shot, and then a number of years later, there was a second shot. That second shot recommendation was based on the measles component and the fact that you're getting a higher effect with that second shot.
58:48Not necessarily based upon the mumps component. So, you know, as I guess I'm reading here, you had some evidence, I don't know your age, which would be kind of helpful. 71. 71. So if you're 71, then you probably had, you probably actually had measles, right? That's probably why they had measles. For sure, yeah. Yeah, so yeah, you're probably set at this point.
59:15Okay, and Michelle and Andrew Wright, my husband has acquired alpha-gal syndrome about 15 years ago when we lived in North Carolina amongst the ticks. He has heard that the new flu shot might have a change to a formulation that would cause problems with folks with alpha-gal. I've been listening to TWIV since the pandemic started, and so you were the first that I thought to ask. Can you help with this question? Yeah, so this is great. This is like trivia night, but actually, you know, trivia that makes a difference. So there is actually one flu shot, one flu.
59:49It's not really a shot, the one flu vaccine that you need to avoid. It's a spray. And why is that? Because they actually use gelatin in the spray. And so if you have this alpha-gal, you actually can potentially have an anaphylactic reaction to flu mist. Go ahead, whatever flu shot you want, just don't do the flu spray. Very interesting. Lovely.
1:00:13That's TWIV Weekly Clinical Update with Dr. Daniel Griffin. Thank you, Daniel. Oh, thank you. And everyone be safe. Thank you. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye. Bye-bye.
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